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The Representativeness of the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings and its Implications for UK Wage Policy

Forth, J. ORCID: 0000-0001-7963-2817, Bryson, A., Phan, V. , Ritchie, F., Singleton, C., Stokes, L. & Whittard, D. (2025). The Representativeness of the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings and its Implications for UK Wage Policy. British Journal of Industrial Relations, article number bjir.70010. doi: 10.1111/bjir.70010

Abstract

The Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) is based on an annual one per cent sample of employee jobs and provides many of the UK’s official earnings statistics. These statistics are produced using official weights designed to make the achieved sample in each year representative of the population of employee jobs in Britain by gender, age, occupation, and region. However, we show that jobs in small, young, private-sector organisations remain significantly under-represented after applying these weights. To address this issue, we develop new weights and demonstrate their importance through policy-relevant examples. Our new estimates suggest that the bite of the National Living Wage is greater than previously reported, and the gender pay gap is wider. We conclude that a new official review of the methodology for ASHE is merited, to improve the accuracy and reliability of data informing earnings analysis and research in the UK.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: British Journal of Industrial Relations© 2025 The Author(s). British Journal of Industrial Relations published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Publisher Keywords: Earnings, Non-response, Attrition, Survey weighting, Low pay, National Living Wage, Gender pay gap
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Departments: Bayes Business School
Bayes Business School > Faculty of Management
SWORD Depositor:
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